BCA Quick Takes Podcast

Is The Disinflation Trend Intact? Implications For Fed Policy

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Bond strategist Ryan Swift about inflation dynamics and monetary policy following the August US CPI release. Is the disinflation trend intact? What inflation indicators should investors watch most closely? Are energy prices a risk to disinflation? And how will these dynamics play into Fed policy going forward?

Further Upside For The S&P 500? (Part 2)

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Investment strategist Doug Peta about the state of the US economy and implications for US stocks. What is the signal from the latest round of US economic data? Why is a neutral equity allocation now appropriate? And what will it take to change the equity allocation to either underweight or overweight? 

Investment Implications Of The US Election Cycle

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Political Strategist Matt Gertken about the implications of the US election cycle on financial markets. What is the geopolitical method and how does it apply to US elections? Are primary elections relevant to investors? And how do stocks perform in election years?

Will The AI Rally Continue?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Equity Strategist Irene Tunkel about the implications of the AI boom on US equities. Is there scope for semi-stocks to rally further? Will growth stocks outperform value stocks? And will Nvidia’s results catalyze another upleg for the S&P 500?

Understanding The Moving Parts Of Oil Markets

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Commodity & Energy Strategist about global oil supply and demand fundamentals. Are Russian supply risks adequately priced into oil markets? Would Saudi Arabia raise output in the event of a Russian oil supply shock? And what is the outlook for EM oil demand growth?

FX Markets Amid Central Bank Data Dependency

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategist Chester Ntonifor about the outlook for G10 currencies amid greater data dependency across central banks. What is the likely direction of EUR/USD? In the absence of forward guidance from central banks, what will be the key drivers that will determine the winners and losers in the G10 FX space? And will the BoJ’s YCC tweak be enough to boost the yen’s prospects?

Reading The Tea Leaves From China’s Politburo Meeting

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief China Investment strategist Arthur Budaghyan about his take on the outcome of the Politburo meeting. Are the measures that were announced sufficient to boost the Chinese economy? Will the property market improve over the coming months? And what is holding policymakers back from easing policy more meaningfully? 

What Soft Landing? A Global Recession Has Already Started!

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Counterpoint strategist Dhaval Joshi about his recession outlook. Why should investors focus on the timing of the next global recession? What is the evidence that the global recession has already started? Does the strong year-to-date performance of global equities contradict the thesis that the global economy is in recession? And will policymakers shift their focus towards measures to reignite economic growth?

Inflation, The Fed, And The Treasury Market

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Bond strategist Ryan Swift about inflation dynamics and monetary policy following the June US CPI release. Will the inflation downtrend continue? How many more rate hikes are in the pipeline? And what are the sources of upside and downside pressure on Treasury yields going forward?

Will Eurozone Weakness Persist Into H2?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief European Investment strategist Mathieu Savary about the European growth outlook. Will economic weakness spill into H2? What are the likely tailwinds to growth over the remainder of the year? Will weak manufacturing remain a drag on growth? And how long will the sequential growth improvement last and how strong will it be?